FX Weekly Recap: December 8 – 12, 2025
Central banks drove notable currency swings this week as Chair Powell’s dovish Fed messaging sparked broad dollar weakness, while policy divergence saw CHF surge and JPY stumble.
Read MoreCentral banks drove notable currency swings this week as Chair Powell’s dovish Fed messaging sparked broad dollar weakness, while policy divergence saw CHF surge and JPY stumble.
Read MoreIs the Bank of Canada (BOC) really ready to end its easing cycle? Or will the upcoming CPI extend their dovish bias until early 2026? Here’s what to look out for in the upcoming inflation report.
Read MoreWith global rate paths diverging and the franc holding steady despite softer Swiss data, is the SNB about to hint at a shift in its policy stance?
Read MoreWill JPow deliver hawkish and USD-friendly comments like he did in the last two Fed rate cuts? Here’s why USD/CHF and GBP/USD’s setups could yield pips in a hawkish cut FOMC event.
Read MoreMarket expectations for a Fed interest rate cut have picked up lately, so I’m looking at these areas of interest on NZD/USD and USD/JPY in case the central bank ramps up dovish expectations for early next year.
Read MoreBOC wraps up 2025 with markets expecting rates to steady at 2.25%, as recent strong labor market data has given the Bank reason to pause after months of cuts.
Read MoreWith the latest round of U.S. jobs figures mostly coming in below expectations, traders appear to be bracing for yet another 0.25% rate cut from the Fed. Will they deliver?
Read MoreAustralia’s Q3 GDP miss sparked initial Aussie weakness before rapid recovery as traders focused on hawkish RBA policy repricing, demonstrating how central bank narratives can overwhelm disappointing data.
Read MoreThe Fed’s rate decision dominates this week, with markets pricing a third consecutive 25bp cut after weak U.S. jobs data and conflicting labor market signals.
Read MoreWith markets expecting the RBA to keep rates at 3.60%, the real action lies in any hints they drop about potentially cutting rates in early 2026.
Read MoreDecember’s first week brought the dollar’s worst tumble since September, surprising Australian dollar strength despite GDP disappointments, and conflicting employment data further complicating Fed rate cut expectations.
Read MoreThe November 2025 ISM reports just dropped, & they’re painting a mixed picture of the U.S. economy. Let’s dive deeper into what the numbers are really telling us.
Read MoreMarkets see an 84% chance the BOC stays on hold December 10, making the November jobs report the last data point that could move those odds.
Read MoreIf Australia’s Q3 GDP prints weak, or if the release turns out bearish for the Aussie, then AUD/JPY and AUD/NZD may offer trading opportunities.
Read MoreWill the upcoming Australian GDP report continue to support hawkish RBA expectations? Here’s what I’m watching on AUD/USD and GBP/AUD in this scenario.
Read MoreThe Aussie seems to be riding high on hawkish RBA expectations these days, but can the upcoming GDP report still change all that? Here’s what to look out for in this top-tier release.
Read MoreThe RBNZ’s hawkish 0.25% rate cut, shifting risk sentiment, and evolving Fed expectations sparked NZD volatility, helping certain Kiwi watchlist setups outperform while others struggled.
Read MoreAfter the dollar got absolutely demolished while most of us were in food comas, we’re heading into December with some serious momentum shifts.
Read MoreDelayed U.S. data releases painted a grim picture of the economy, but do leading indicators like the PMI surveys align with this view? Here’s what you need to know when trading the November ISM manufacturing PMI.
Read MoreForex traders navigated holiday volatility as Fed officials hinted at rate cuts, RBNZ surprised markets, & the USD weakened during a short trading week.
Read MoreMy own life is proof that overcoming bad odds is doable with sound strategy.Larry Hite